Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000151 0.000167 0.000184 0.000204 0.000226 0.000250 0.000278
2025-06-01 0.000118 0.000141 0.000167 0.000199 0.000239 0.000287 0.000348
2025-06-08 0.000097 0.000122 0.000152 0.000192 0.000245 0.000312 0.000405
2025-06-15 0.000086 0.000113 0.000147 0.000195 0.000261 0.000350 0.000481
2025-06-22 0.000079 0.000106 0.000144 0.000198 0.000278 0.000390 0.000566
2025-06-29 0.000070 0.000098 0.000136 0.000194 0.000282 0.000412 0.000626
2025-07-06 0.000062 0.000088 0.000126 0.000186 0.000279 0.000422 0.000667
2025-07-13 0.000057 0.000084 0.000123 0.000186 0.000289 0.000453 0.000746
2025-07-20 0.000054 0.000081 0.000121 0.000189 0.000302 0.000490 0.000840
2025-07-27 0.000050 0.000077 0.000118 0.000188 0.000308 0.000516 0.000918
2025-08-03 0.000048 0.000074 0.000116 0.000191 0.000322 0.000556 0.001026
2025-08-10 0.000044 0.000070 0.000112 0.000188 0.000326 0.000578 0.001104
2025-08-17 0.000041 0.000067 0.000109 0.000186 0.000331 0.000605 0.001198
2025-08-24 0.000038 0.000063 0.000105 0.000183 0.000335 0.000631 0.001297
2025-08-31 0.000035 0.000059 0.000099 0.000177 0.000331 0.000642 0.001365
2025-09-07 0.000033 0.000057 0.000098 0.000179 0.000344 0.000688 0.001522
2025-09-14 0.000032 0.000056 0.000098 0.000183 0.000361 0.000743 0.001710
2025-09-21 0.000030 0.000053 0.000094 0.000179 0.000361 0.000764 0.001816
2025-09-28 0.000027 0.000049 0.000088 0.000171 0.000352 0.000762 0.001867
2025-10-05 0.000026 0.000047 0.000087 0.000172 0.000362 0.000805 0.002041
2025-10-12 0.000025 0.000046 0.000086 0.000174 0.000376 0.000859 0.002260
2025-10-19 0.000024 0.000044 0.000084 0.000173 0.000381 0.000893 0.002427
2025-10-26 0.000023 0.000044 0.000084 0.000175 0.000395 0.000953 0.002686